The steep increase cost for in EV battery materials, particularly lithium, is jeopardizing the otherwise booming industry. The price of battery-grade carbonate lithium in China has increased by over 700% in just a year, from $7,900 per ton in early 2021 to $66,300 per ton this month, according to Chinese financial publication Caijing.
Image: Tianqi Lithium. Lithium prices continue to rise exponentially in China on the back of heavy demand for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, the first ever mid-month assessment by battery supply chain research and price reporting agency Benchmark Mineral Intelligence shows.
The Chinese battery producer Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Limited (CATL) increased its revenue nine-fold between 2015 to 2019. In the upcoming five years, the global lithium-ion battery market is expected to double in size, reaching 71 billion U.S. dollars by 2025.
The market capitalization for lithium batteries in China is estimated at 190 billion yuan (approximately 30 billion dollars) and is projected to reach 268 billion yuan (42 billion dollars) by 2026.
The price of battery-grade carbonate lithium in China has increased over 700% in just a year. The rapid rise was partly a result of the growing demand for EV batteries in recent years, as China maintains the largest EV market in the world.
It is likely to drop to as low as 80,000 yuan next year as global supply continues to rise, four China-based analysts said. China’s CITIC Futures said it expects Chinese lithium carbonate prices as low as 80,000 yuan a ton in 2024, averaging at around 100,000 yuan.
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