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African countries could refine materials for lithium battery production and export to the US and EU. Refining could be in countries that are currently mining raw materials required for battery cell production or have a plan to start by 2030. These include: 4. Presence of local battery demand or assembly 5. Presence of required talent 6.
The required capital expenditure ranges from USD 0.5-1.5 billion. African countries could refine materials for lithium battery production and export to the US and EU. Refining could be in countries that are currently mining raw materials required for battery cell production or have a plan to start by 2030. These include: 4.
African countries, particularly Tanzania and Morocco, could competitively produce and export LFP batteries to Europe by 2030 at USD 68-72/kWh. This could generate USD 10-15 billion annually and create 22,000-25,000 jobs, rivaling global manufacturers like China, Indonesia, Europe, and the US.
China is a major producer of Li-ion batteries and has streamlined supply chains, enabling efficient component procurement. Companies like CATL and BYD are prominent players in the Chinese battery market The US has seen significant growth in energy storage demand.
A gigafactory requires a capex of ~USD 1 bn to produce 10-15 GWh batteries per year; African countries could produce LFP battery cells and export to the EU market. Countries that could produce battery cells cost competitively (e.g., Morocco, Tanzania).
Regionalizing the value chain: The 2021 Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) offers a unique opportunity for African countries to collaborate across the value chain, localizing production and enhancing cost competitiveness. Government Support: African governments are implementing policies to support the battery value chain.
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